For Second Year in a Row New Grads Find More Jobs, Starting Salaries Rise — But Overall Unemployment Rate Rises with Historically Large Graduating Class
June 19, 2014
According to Selected Findings from the Employment Report and Salary Survey for the Class of 2013 released today by NALP, despite two years of growth in the number of jobs obtained by law school graduates, the overall employment rate for new law school graduates fell for the sixth year in a row, to 84.5%. Even though the total number of jobs obtained by this class was somewhat higher than the number of jobs obtained by the previous class, and the number of employment opportunities funded by law schools increased, the Class of 2013 was also bigger, resulting in the employment rate for the Class of 2013 falling, but by just 0.2 percentage points from the 84.7% rate for the Class of 2012. To read the full text of "Employment for the Class of 2013 — Selected Findings" go to www.nalp.org/classof2013. NALP's findings for the Class of 2013 will be released in much greater detail in August 2014 in a report entitled Jobs & JDs: Employment and Salaries of New Law School Graduates — Class of 2013.
NALP measures the employment rate of law graduates as of February 15, or nine months after a typical May graduation. Analyses of these data for the Class of 2013 (measured in February of 2014) reveal an employment rate that has fallen 7.4 percentage points since reaching a 24-year high of 91.9% in 2007 and that marks the lowest employment rate since the aftermath of the last significant recession to affect the U.S. legal economy. Since 1985 there have only been two classes with an overall employment rate below 84.5%, and both of those occurred in the aftermath of the 1990-1991 recession: 83.5% for 1992 and 83.4% for 1993. (For information on trends in graduate employment going back to 1985, see www.nalp.org/trends.)
Despite signs of modest improvement, as evidenced by more law firm jobs as described below, there are still signs of weakness in the entry-level job market, as some of the improvements that started in 2012 continued in 2013, but not always at a similar rate. For instance, of those graduates for whom employment status was known, only 64.4% obtained a job for which bar passage is required, unchanged from 2012. From 2008 to 2012 this figure fell over 10 percentage points — from 74.7% to 64.4% — and for the second year in a row is the lowest percentage NALP has measured. An additional 13.8% of graduates obtained jobs for which a JD provides an advantage in obtaining the job, or may even be required, but for which bar passage is not required (these are often described as law-related jobs). This compares with 13.3% for the Class of 2012 and is the highest since NALP began comparable tracking in 2001. The percentage of graduates employed in other capacities was 6.3%. The unemployment rate also edged up for this class, and stood at 12.9%, compared with 12.8% for the Class of 2012. Of the remaining graduates for whom employment status was known, 0.7% had accepted a job as of February 15, 2014 but had not yet started that job, and just under 2% of the 2013 graduates were continuing their academic studies full-time. The percentage of jobs reported as part-time declined for the second year in a row and was 8.4%, compared with 9.8% in 2012 and over 11% in 2011. The figure nonetheless contrasts with 6.5% for 2008 and about 5% in the years immediately prior to that. About 3.6% of jobs were both temporary (defined as lasting less than a year) and part-time, a figure that is also down from 2012 — when it was 4.6% — and that has been cut in half since 2011 when it was over 7%.
Of the 64.4% of graduates for whom employment status was known who obtained a job for which bar passage was required, less than 5% of these jobs were reported as part-time — so the percentage employed in a full-time job requiring bar passage is 61.3%. Because some of these jobs will last less than one year, the percentage employed full-time in jobs requiring bar passage that will last at least a year is just 59%. Both of these figures represent small improvements over the 2012 figures, which were 60.7% and 58.3%, respectively.
In commentary accompanying the Selected Findings, NALP Executive Director James Leipold noted, "The entry-level legal employment market is a complex labor market that defies easy analysis or simple summation. In the best of times law school graduates have entered the labor force by taking many different kinds of jobs, not all of which can be described as actually practicing law or even law-related. As the legal services market continues to change at a rapid pace following the dramatic downsizing during the recession, the variety and diversity of jobs that law grads take now is greater than ever. In general, the picture that emerges is one of slow growth, and growth that is a blend of continued shrinkage and downsizing in some areas offset by growth in other areas. In general, the legal sector is best described as mostly flat in the Spring of 2014, with overall sector headcount still off by more than 40,000 jobs from its pre-recession high according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The entry-level job market reflects that mostly flat business environment for the legal sector generally."
Over Half of Employed Grads Found Jobs in Private Practice
Additional analyses of the jobs data for the Class of 2013 reveal that just over half (51.1%) of employed graduates obtained a job in private practice, up from 50.7% for the Class of 2012 and the highest since 2010. However, that figure for the Class of 2010 represented a full 5 percentage point decline from 2009. For most of the 40 years for which NALP has collected employment information, the percentage of jobs in law firms has been in the 55-58% range and has been below 55% only before 1981 and since 2010. The combination of a slightly larger number of jobs overall and a higher percentage of jobs in law firms means that the number of law firm jobs is up, but by just over 1%, compared with an almost 8% increase from 2011 to 2012, and is the largest number since 2009.
Additionally, jobs in the largest firms, those with more than 500 lawyers, continued to rebound from their low point in 2011, and accounted for 20.6% of jobs taken in law firms, compared with only 16.2% in 2011 and 19.1% in 2012. The number of jobs taken in these firms — at almost 4,000 — is up by over 9% over 2012 levels, representing a recovery to just over 2010 levels but to nowhere near the 2009 figure of more than 5,100 jobs. Moreover, the lion's share of the increase occurred from 2011 to 2012, with 2013 contributing only about one-third of the increase. At the other end of the spectrum, jobs in the smallest firms of 2-10 lawyers accounted for 42% of law firm jobs, down from 43% in 2012, and declined in raw numbers from almost 8,200 to not quite 8,100. Nonetheless, the number of jobs in small firms has generally been increasing in recent years, and for every job in a large firm taken by a Class of 2013 graduate, two were taken in a small firm.
Median Starting Salaries Rise Slightly
Salary information was reported for two-thirds of the jobs reported as full-time and lasting at least a year. The national median salary for the Class of 2013 based on these reported salaries was $62,467, compared with $61,245 for the Class of 2012, and is just the second year-over-year increase in the overall median since 2008, when the median increased to $72,000. The national mean for the Class of 2013 was $82,408, compared with $80,798 for the Class of 2012. In each of the two most recent years, the overall median has increased by 2% while the law firm median has increased by 6%, reflecting the increase in law firm jobs, particularly at large firms. Nonetheless the overall salary median and the median for law firm jobs specifically remain below those of 2008-2010.
The national median salary at law firms based on reported salaries was $95,000, compared with $90,000 the prior year. With salary medians by firm size remaining essentially unchanged, the modest increase in the overall median is largely attributable to the increase in the number of large firm jobs, with salaries of $160,000 now accounting for 31% of reported law firm salaries. At the same time, although salaries of $160,000 still prevail at the largest firms, their share has dropped since 2010. And though still a tiny minority — just about 4% — salaries of $50,000 to $99,000 for bar passage required jobs at large firms are more common than just a few years ago, as more graduates are taking staff attorney or similar positions at lower salaries. (See Table 1.)
Median salaries in other sectors have remained relatively flat in recent years. The median salary for government jobs has remained unchanged since 2009, at $52,000. The median salary at public interest organizations, which includes legal services providers and public defenders, was $45,000 in 2013, essentially steady since 2011. The median salary for judicial clerkships was $53,000, little changed from $52,600 in 2013 and up just $1,000 from 2010 and 2011.
Other key findings from Jobs & JDs: Employment and Salaries of New Law School Graduates — Class of 2013:
"Law graduates must enter law school with the understanding that the jobs picture, while strengthening, is one that will continue to evolve, and in the course of that evolution it is almost certain that new opportunities will present themselves, just as it is certain that some traditional opportunities that law school graduates have long counted on will continue to erode," commented NALP Executive Director James Leipold. "It is not true that there are too many lawyers — indeed even today most Americans do not have adequate access to affordable legal services — but the traditional market for large numbers of law graduates by large law firms seeking equity-track new associates is not likely to ever return to what it was in 2006 or 2007, and thus aggregate earning opportunities for the class as a whole are not likely to return to what they were before the recession," he concluded.
The findings of NALP's Employment Report and Salary Survey for the Class of 2013 will be reported in much greater detail — including salary detail and analyses of employment and earnings by geographic market — in Jobs & JDs: Employment and Salaries of New Law School Graduates — Class of 2013 — to be published in August 2013. As noted at the beginning of this release, the full text of "Employment for the Class of 2013 — Selected Findings" can be found at www.nalp.org/classof2013.
About NALP: NALP is an association of over 2,500 legal career professionals who advise law students, lawyers, law offices, and law schools in North America and beyond. What brings NALP members together is a common belief in three fundamental things. First, all law students and lawyers should benefit from a fair and ethical hiring process. Second, law students and lawyers are more successful when supported by professional development and legal career professionals. Third, a diverse and inclusive legal profession best serves clients and our communities. That's why NALP members work together every day to collect and publish accurate legal employment data and information, and champion education and standards for recruiting, professional and career development, and diversity and inclusion. For more than 40 years, NALP has played an essential role in the success of our members and the lawyers and law students they serve.
NALP maintains an online archive of press releases at www.nalp.org/pressreleases. For additional information about NALP research, contact Judith Collins (email@example.com), Director of Research, or James G. Leipold (firstname.lastname@example.org), Executive Director, at 202-835-1001. Mailing address: National Association for Law Placement, 1220 19th Street NW, Suite 401, Washington, DC 20036-2405.